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New-To-Brand Lift Calculator

Amazon's New-To-Brand (NTB) metric is one of the most underused signals in the platform. Most operators see it as a vanity number. This calculator models the actual LTV impact: repurchase rate, basket expansion across the catalogue and lifetime margin contribution from NTB customers vs returning ones.

NTB customer economics

Model your LTV.

24-month LTV per NTB customer

$26.10

First-order profit

$-2.25

Loss on order 1

12-month LTV

$15.47

LTV : CAC

1.45x

MarginalNTB unit economics

Cumulative profit over time

Payback curve per NTB customer.

$0
$-2
+$2
+$7
+$11
+$15
+$21
+$26
M0M3M6M9M12M18M24

Gold = cumulative profit above zero. Red = customer is still under-water (CAC not yet recovered).

How to use it

Numbers are a starting point.
A conversation gets you to the answer.

This tool models the maths cleanly, but every brand has category-specific quirks the model can't see — competitive intensity, seasonal skew, catalogue depth, launch stage. If you'd like a senior view on how the numbers apply to your specific account, book a call and we'll walk through it together.